Ngaphantsi kweemfuno zokusingqongileyo zokukhusela amandla acocekileyo, iphinda iphindwe kwi-petroli ukuya kwi-lithium ibhetri ye-OPE
Okwangoku, imarike isalawulwa yizixhobo zepetroli, kwaye izinga lokungena kwezixhobo zebhetri ze-lithium liphantsi.I-petroli OPE yangena kwimarike ukususela ekuqaleni kwenkulungwane yama-20, kwaye kwiminyaka yakutshanje, ngenxa yokuphucula iteknoloji yebhetri ye-lithium kunye nokwehla kweendleko zemveliso, ibhetri ye-lithium OPE sele iqalile ukuvela kwimarike, ngoko ibhetri ye-lithium yangoku. Izinga lokungena kwe-OPE liphantsi.NgokukaFrost & Sullivan, ubungakanani bentengiso ye-fuel-powered/ cordless/ cordless/parts & accessories & accessories was $166/11/36/3.8 billion ngo-2020, ibalelwa kwi-66%/4%/14%/15% yemalike iyonke. yabelana, ngokulandelelanayo.
Sikholelwa ukuba utshintsho kwicala lemfuno luya kukhuthaza ukonyuka okukhawulezayo kwinqanaba lokungena kwebhetri ye-lithium ngezi zizathu zilandelayo:
(1) Ngokombono wokusebenza kwemveliso, izixhobo zebhetri ze-lithium zihambelana nokusingqongileyo, iindleko zokusebenza kunye nokugcinwa kweendleko, ukhuseleko kunye nokulula kokusetyenziswa kunezixhobo zamafutha.Iimveliso ezisetyenziswa ngamafutha emveli zinokusetyenziswa kwamandla aphantsi, ilahleko enkulu yobushushu obumandla, kunye nerhasi ephumayo eveliswa kukungabikho kwezixhobo zokucoca igesi ephumayo iya kubangela ungcoliseko olukhulu emoyeni.Ngokutsho kwedatha yeCARB, ukusebenzisa i-petroli-powered lawn mower yeyure ilingana nokukhutshwa kwemoto eqhuba iikhilomitha ezingama-300 ukusuka eLos Angeles ukuya eLas Vegas.Iimveliso zebhetri yeLithium zineempawu ezibalaseleyo zemveliso ezifana nokucoceka nokusingqongileyo, ingxolo ephantsi, ukungcangcazela okuphantsi, ukugcinwa okulula kunye neendleko zokusebenza eziphantsi.Ngokutsho kwedatha ye-OPEI, izixhobo ze-OPE zamafutha kufuneka zisebenzise i-petroli enomxholo we-ethanol ongaphantsi kwe-10%, kungenjalo iya kubangela umonakalo kwisixhobo, kwaye izibonelelo zeemveliso zebhetri ye-lithium zinokuthi ngokuthe ngcembe zibe zivelele kumxholo we-chaotic fuel market supply. , ukunyuka kwamaxabiso e-oyile ngokuqhubekayo, kunye nokunyuka kweendleko zezixhobo zamafutha.Kubasebenzisi beendawo zokuhlala ezinommandla omncinci wokusebenza, ingxolo ephantsi, ukhuseleko kunye nokukhululeka kokusetyenziswa, i-lithium ibhetri ye-OPE ingaba yinto engcono kakhulu, ngokutsho kwe-Husqvarna survey, i-78% yabaphenduli bakholelwa ukuba i-OPE enobume bendalo kufuneka isetyenziswe.
(2) Ngokombono weentsilelo ezikhoyo zeemveliso, ukuphuculwa kweteknoloji yebhethri ye-lithium kunye nokwehla kwexabiso leemveliso zebhetri ye-lithium kuya kudlula kwizinto ezingalunganga ezikhoyo.Ngokutsho kwedatha ye-Amazon, ukuhamba okuqhelekileyo kwe-lithium ibhetri mower ixabisa i-$ 300-400, ibhetri ye-40V 4.0ah inokugijima imizuzu engama-45 ngentlawulo enye, ixabiso le-fuel mower li-$ 200-300, kunye ne-0.4 galoni yeoli ingasebenza. iiyure ezi-4.Ngophuhliso kunye nokuphuculwa kweteknoloji yebhetri ye-lithium, izinto ze-cathode zitshintshwa ngokuthe ngcembe yi-ternary ephezulu ye-nickel enamandla aphezulu, kunye nokugcinwa kweteknoloji ye-anode ye-silicon kunye nokusebenza okunamandla kokhuseleko kunye nokusebenza kwesantya kusekwa, kwaye ngelixa ukusebenza kwe-lithium. ibhetri iphuculwe, iindleko zezinto ezintle kunye ezimbi ze-electrode ezibalelwa ngaphezu kwesiqingatha seendleko zeebhetri ze-lithium nazo ziya kuncipha ngokufanelekileyo.Ngokutsho kwe-2021 Lithium-ion Battery Pack Price Survey, ixabiso eliqhelekileyo leebhetri lilindeleke ukuba liwele ngaphantsi kwe-$ 100 / kWh ngo-2024. Sikholelwa ukuba ngenkqubela eqhubekayo ye-lithium iteknoloji yebhetri, ubomi bebhetri kunye nezithintelo zeendleko zokuvelisa ziyaphulwa ngokuthe ngcembe. , Iimveliso ze-OPE ze-lithium zebhetri ziya kuqhubeka zithandwa kwaye ziqatshelwe ngabasebenzisi, kwaye izinga lokungena kwimarike kulindeleke ukuba linyuke unyaka nonyaka.
(3) Ukususela kumbono wokuqhuba umgaqo-nkqubo, imigaqo-nkqubo yokukhusela indalo iyona nto ikhuthaza ukukhawuleza ukutshintshwa kwezixhobo zepetroli ngamabhetri e-lithium-ion.Ukusukela ngo-2008, i-Arhente yoKhuseleko lokusiNgqongileyo yase-US (EPA) iphumeze eyona migangatho ingqongqo ye-Tier 4 yokukhutshwa kwezithuthi zase-US, elawula ukukhuselwa kokusingqongileyo kweemveliso ze-OPE ezifana nezitshizi zengca, iisarha, kunye nezivutheli-magqabi zamagqabi.Ngokwe-Arhente yoKhuseleko lokuSingqongileyo yase-US, i-OPE yenze i-26.7 yezigidi zeetoni zongcoliseko lomoya ngo-2011, zibalelwa kwi-24% -45% yokukhutshwa kwepetroli engeyiyo indlela, kunye neCalifornia kunye namanye amazwe amane (awona manani aphezulu amahlanu ngo-2011) kunye babalelwa ukuba ngaphezu kwe-20% yokukhutshwa kwe-US iyonke.Ngo-2021, iCalifornia yavala izixhobo ezisebenza ngepetroli ezineenjini ezincinci zohola wendlela, kubandakanya iijenereyitha ezisebenza ngepetroli, iiwasha zoxinzelelo, kunye nezixhobo zengca ezifana nezivutheli zamagqabi kunye nezitshisi zengca, ukuqala ngo-2024, kwaye imimandla emininzi kubandakanya iNew York ne-Illinois ziqwalasela. amanyathelo afanayo okuphumeza uqoqosho lwe-carbon-free.Ngelo xesha, imibutho efana ne-American Alliance of Green Zones (AGZA) ilungiselela amanyathelo okunceda iinkampani ezijoliswe ngaphandle kunye noomasipala benguqu kwizixhobo ezincinci zegesi, kuquka ukuqeqeshwa kwi-EPA kunye ne-CARB izixhobo ezihambelanayo kunye neenketho zombane webhetri.EYurophu, iimveliso ze-OPE zilawulwa yimigangatho yokukhutshwa kwe-European, ethe ngokuqhubekayo idlula izigaba ezi-5 ukususela ngo-1999, ngelixa imigangatho engqongqo yeSigaba sesi-5 iphunyezwe ngokuthe ngcembe ukususela ngo-2018 kwaye iphunyezwe ngokupheleleyo ukusuka ngo-2021. uphuhliso ishishini amandla amatsha amandla, igalelo kuphuhliso OPE lithium iibhetri ehlabathini lonke.
(4) Ukusuka kwimbono yesikhokelo sokubonelela, amashishini angundoqo akhokela ngokusebenzayo ukuguqulwa kweemfuno zabathengi.Iinkampani ezingundoqo zentengiso yesixhobo samandla i-TTI, uStanley Baltur, iBOSCH, iMakita kunye nabanye bakhulisa ngenkuthalo iiplatifti zabo zemveliso yebhetri ye-lithium ukuqhuba uzinzo ngokujongana neengxaki zendalo zeemveliso ezisebenza ngepetroli kunye nokutshintshela kwiimveliso zebhetri ye-lithium.Ngokomzekelo, inxalenye ye-Husqvarna yeemveliso zamandla ombane kwi-2021 yayiyi-37%, ukwanda kwe-26pcts ngo-2015, kwaye iceba ukunyuka ukuya kwi-67% kwiminyaka emi-5 ezayo;UStanley Baltur ufumana iMTD ukungena kwintsimi ye-lithium-ion izixhobo zamandla zangaphandle;I-TTI iceba ukusungula iimveliso ze-103 zangaphandle ezingenazintambo kwi-2022, i-RYOBI yayo iceba ukuqalisa iimveliso ze-OPE ezitsha ze-70 kwi-2022, kwaye i-Milwaukee iceba ukuvelisa iimveliso ezintsha ze-15.Ngokwezibalo zethu kwiiwebhusayithi ezisemthethweni zeenkampani kunye namajelo, ukususela ngoMatshi ka-2022, umlinganiselo wezixhobo ze-OPE zamafutha kwiinkampani eziphambili ze-Innovation and Technology Industries, uStanley Baltur kunye noMakita kwiimveliso ze-OPE kuphela yi-7.41%, 8.18% kunye ne-1.52 % ngokulandelelanayo;Imijelo engundoqo ye-Lowe, i-Wal-Mart, kunye nemveliso ye-fuel mower ye-Amazon nayo ingaphantsi kwe-20%, kwaye iinkampani ezingundoqo zinyusa ngenkuthalo ukunikezelwa kwezixhobo zebhetri ze-lithium ukukhokela imfuno yabathengi ukusuka kwisixhobo samafutha ukuya kwisixhobo sebhetri ye-lithium.
Ixesha lokuposa: Mar-13-2023